Should healthy people take Statins?
Prologue

The following is a hypothetical conversation between a pharmaceutical salesperson and a knowledgeable person:

Boy, do I have a great deal for you!.
—  Whats the deal?
In next 10 years, ten people out of 100 in your group will get heart disease, and i'm going to fix that!
—  How?
I'm going to sell each one of you an expensive pill that will solve all your problems!
—  So no one will get sick?
Not quite... only seven people will get sick!
—  So the pill will cure three people?
Not quite... They will probably get sick in the three years following the ten year period...
-  Well... so at least three people get to live a little longer?
Not really sure... Some of the studies don't show any associated increase in life span...
—  So let me get this straight: you are going to give 100 people a pill, every day for 10 years, so that

  1. Ninety people who wouldn't get sick anyway, take the pill, even though it makes no difference to them?

    Y  e  s ...
  2. And seven people who would get sick anyway, take the pill, even though it makes no difference to them?

    Y  e   s ...
  3. Ninety seven people are unnecessarily taking a pill, so that a total of three people may have an additional 1-3 years till they get ill?

    Y  e   s ...
  4. And it costs an arm and a leg, and has some potentially nasty side effects, and has no significant impact on my longevity?

    Y  e   s ...

—  Give me a break!!!



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Last Modification - February 8, 2008